Visakhapatnam: A third cyclone is expected to form over the Central Bay of Bengal around November 18, stated the private weather website Skymet on Thursday.
The website said that under the influence of a cyclonic circulation over the south Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal, a low-pressure area is likely to form on Friday. The system would become well-marked on November 14 and is likely to intensify further into a depression on November 15.
If environmental conditions favour adequate heat potential and offer scope for intensification, a third cyclone of the season is likely over the Bay of Bengal (to be named Akvan, meaning evil mind, a name given by Iran).
More clarity would come as and when the system takes the shape of a depression over the central parts of the Bay of Bengal, Skymet said.
As of now, all possibilities remain open, and the decisive track and landfall would have to wait until Saturday. However, unlike the previous two storms, the chances of sparing the Tamil Nadu and Andhra coasts outnumber the other outcomes. If so, the storm would recurvature well short of the coastline.
West Bengal and Bangladesh would face an increased threat of a cyclone strike, the first of this season.
In its special bulletin, IMD Amaravati said under the cyclone’s influence, squally weather with wind speed reaching 40-50 gusting to 60kmph-is likely over the Andaman Sea on November 14 and November 15, and the southeast-Bay of Bengal on November 14 and 16.
The wind speed is likely to increase, becoming 45-55 gusting to-65kmph over southwest Bay of Bengal between November 15 and 17 and over the central Bay of Bengal during November 16 and 17. A senior IMD official said it was too early to predict formation of a cyclone.
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