Mets vs. Cubs prediction: MLB Saturday player props, picks, odds

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The Mets will look to break out of their funk in the second of a three-game set at Wrigley Field against the Cubs. 

Chicago will face a familiar face in Mets right-hander Freddy Peralta, who spent his entire big league career with the National League Central rival Brewers before he was traded to Queens over the offseason.

Peralta has made 22 appearances (17 starts) against the Cubs over the years, and he’s pitched them about as well as he has any team in baseball. 

Against the Northsiders, he has posted a 3.21 ERA over 98 innings, which is his lowest ERA versus any opponent he has logged at least 40 innings against.

He’s been even better than that, facing some of the Cubs’ current biggest bats. 

In 38 career plate appearances, Ian Happ is hitting just .063.

Seiya Suzuki has struck out in more than half of his 23 at-bats versus Peralta. 

New York Mets starting pitcher Freddy Peralta (51) is congratulated by teammates after he was removed from the game during the sixth inning at Busch Stadium. Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Nico Hoerner, Dansby Swanson, and Michael Busch are combining to hit .140 off Peralta in 64 combined career at-bats. 

At Wrigley Field, specifically, batters have hit just .186 off Peralta, showing he likes to pitch at the Friendly Confines. 


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While he’s had trouble keeping the ball in the yard (three home runs allowed) and walks (3.4 walks per nine innings) thus far this season, Peralta has been his usual stingy self when it comes to giving up hits, holding batters to a .203 average. 

All evidence shows that it should continue on Saturday in Chicago. 

The play: Freddy Peralta to allow fewer than x.x hits (x,x)


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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.

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