Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the race for October’s presidential election, although the right-wing challenger has narrowed the gap, according to a Quaest poll released Friday.
In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula secured 43% support against 40% for Bolsonaro. An earlier Quaest poll conducted on August 5 had Lula ahead by 44% to 39%.
The latest figures indicate a virtual tie, given the poll’s margin of error of two percentage points.
In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with 38% of the projected vote, followed by Bolsonaro at 31%. Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado each received 4%, while Romeu Zema stood at 2%.
Flavio Bolsonaro, a senator and the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, has emerged as the leading right-wing challenger to Lula.
Under Brazil’s electoral system, a candidate must secure more than 50% of valid votes to win outright in the first round. If no candidate reaches that threshold, the two leading candidates advance to a runoff.
The Quaest survey polled 2,004 people between August 10 and 13 and was commissioned by Brazilian media outlet Globo.
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