The 98th Annual Academy Awards will take place on Sunday, March 15 from the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood with Conan O’Brien set to host the annual show
The biggest night in film is finally here, and the movies and stars that have been the talk of awards season are all set to face off at the most prestigious event of the year, The Academy Awards.
Some of the biggest names of the year will assemble at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, California on Sunday, March 15, where some will end the night with new hardware to add to their accolades for their work.
Going into Oscars night, some seem poised to have sure wins after dominating the entire season thus far, while others are new surprise contenders that could actually upend entire races after other unexpected wins. So who will win big? Here are our predictions for the night’s wins…
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Best Picture
Nominees: Bugonia, F1, Frankenstein, Hamnet, Marty Supreme, One Battle After Another, The Secret Agent, Sentimental Value, Sinners, Train Dreams
Will win: One Battle After Another: The movie, starring Leonardo DiCaprio, Chase Infiniti, Teyana Taylor, Sean Penn and more, has by and large been the favorite throughout awards season, picking up trophies at nearly every major precursor award show. Its director, Paul Thomas Anderson, is also favored to win as best director, and the Academy rarely splits the win between director and film, giving it an edge.
Could win: Sinners: After winning the Actor Award for best ensemble, which can also serve as a precursor to a win, Sinners could pull a surprise upset at the last minute and usurp the moment that has been built for One Battle After Another all season. While the other film still has the edge, it isn’t impossible for Sinners to win, even if Anderson takes home Best Director. The Academy has split the awards 25 times in the past, most recently in 2021.
Actor in a Leading Role
Nominees: Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme; Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another; Ethan Hawke, Blue Moon; Michael B. Jordan, Sinners; Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent
Will Win: Toss-up between Timothée Chalamet and Michael B. Jordan, with a slight edge to Chalamet
Why it’s a toss-up: Chalamet has picked up at least two big awards in the lead-up to the Oscars, scoring both Golden Globe and Critics’ Choice wins for his role, but Michael B. Jordan pulled an unexpected upset at the Actor Awards, which has seriously increased the probability he could win the Oscar as well. The edge could still trend slightly towards Chalamet, however, due to his consistent presence at awards shows and propensity for nominations each year. Marty Supreme marks his third Best Actor nomination after Call Me By Your Name and A Complete Unknown–and the Academy does have a tendency to try and reward oft-nominated stars at some point. Jordan, meanwhile, is a first-time nominee.
Actor in a Supporting Role
Nominees: Benicio Del Toro, One Battle After Another; Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein; Delroy Lindo, Sinners; Sean Penn, One Battle After Another; Stellan Skarsgård, Sentimental Value
Will Win: Sean Penn: Penn is well-poised to take home his third Oscar in a row when it comes to his most recent nominations, after taking home Lead Actor trophies for both Mystic River and Milk. Now, in his first nomination in nearly 20 years, he is poised as the favorite to win for his role as Steven J. Lockjaw.
Actress in a Leading Role
Nominees: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet; Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You; Kate Hudson, Song Sung Blue; Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value; Emma Stone, Bugonia
Will win: Jessie Buckley. The phrase “it’s just an honor to be nominated” has rung true at every other awards show this season, as those who have gone up against Buckley have yet to stand a chance at winning. The only other one to take home a trophy was Byrne at the Golden Globes–but she and Buckley were in separate categories.
Actress in a Supporting Role
Nominees: Elle Fanning, Sentimental Value; Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas, Sentimental Value; Amy Madigan, Weapons; Wunmi Mosaku, Sinners; Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another
Will Win: Amy Madigan: Amy Madigan appears poised to win after her Critics Choice and Actor Award wins, and is an overall favorite, though she could have a surprise upset.
Could Win: Wunmi Mosaku. If anyone pulls an upset, it is Mosaku, who won the BAFTA.
Directing
Nominees: Chloe Zhao, Hamnet; Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme; Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another; Joachim Trier, Sentimental Value; Ryan Coogler, Sinners
Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson. Like Jessie Buckley, Anderson has dominated the director’s category and wins all awards season. While upsets aren’t impossible, it seems unlikely to happen here.
Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Nominees: Bugonia, Will Tracy; Frankenstein, Guillermo Del Toro; Hamnet, Chloe Zhao and Maggie O’Farrell; One Battle After Another, Paul Thomas Anderson; Train Dreams, Clint Bentley and Greg Kewdar
Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson. Like his domination as a director, Anderson has swept all prior Adapted Screenplay categories. He is the one to beat.
Writing (Original Screenplay)
Nominees: Blue Moon, Robert Kaplow; It Was Just An Accident, Jafar Panahi; Marty Supreme, Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie; Sentimental Value, Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier; Sinners, Ryan Coogler
Will Win: Ryan Coogler. While Paul Thomas Anderson has dominated the adapted screenplay category, Coogler has had the same success in the original screenplay category, making him the one to beat here
All other predictions:
Animated Feature Film: Arco, Elio, KPop Demon Hunters, Little Amelie or The Character of Rain, Zooptopia 2
Animated Short Film: Butterfly, Forevergreen, The Girl Who Cried Pearls, Retirement Plan, The Three Sisters
Casting: Nina Gold, Hamnet; Jennifer Venditti, Marty Supreme; Cassandra Kululkundis, One Battle After Another; Gabriel Domingues, The Secret Agent; Francine Maisler, Sinners
Cinematography: Dan Laustsen, Frankenstein; Darius Khondji, Marty Supreme; Michael Bauman, One Battle After Another; Autumn Durald Arkapaw, Sinners; Adolpho Veloso, Train Dreams
Costume Design: Deborah L. Scott, Avatar: Fire and Ash; Kate Hawley, Frankenstein; Malgosia Turzanska, Hamnet; Miyako Bellizzi, Marty Supreme; Ruth E. Carter, Sinners
Documentary Feature Film: The Alabama Solution, Come See Me in the Good Light, Cutting Through Rocks, Mr. Nobody Against Putin, The Perfect Neighbor
Documentary Short Film: All the Empty Rooms, Armed Only With a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud, Children No More: “Were and Are Gone,” The Devil is Busy, Perfectly a Strangeness
Film Editing: Stephen Mirrione, F1; Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie, Marty Supreme; Andy Jurgensen, One Battle After Another; Olivier Bugge Coutte, Sentimental Value; Michael P. Shawver, Sinners
International Feature Film: The Secret Agent, Brazil; It Was Just an Accident, France; Sentimental Value, Norway; Sirat, Spain; The Voice of Hind Rajab, Tunisia
Live Action Short Film: Butcher’s Stain, A Friend of Dorothy, Jane Austen’s Period Drama, The Singers, Two People Exchanging Saliva
Makeup and Hairstyling: Frankenstein, Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey; Kokuho, Kyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino and Tadashi Nishimatsu; Sinners, Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry; The Mashing Machine, Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein; The Ugly Stepsister, Thomas Foldberg and Anne Catherine Sauerberg
Music (Original Score): Jerskin Fendrix, Bugonia; Anexandre Desplat, Frankenstein; Max Richter, Hamnet; Jonny Greenwood, One Battle After Another; Ludwig Goransson, Sinners
Music (Original Song): Dear Me, Diane Warren: Relentless; Golden, KPop Demon Hunters; I Lied To You, Sinners; Sweet Dreams of Joy, Viva Verdi!; Train Dreams, Train Dreams
Production Design: Frankenstein, Hamnet, Marty Supreme, One Battle After Another, Sinners
Sound: F1, Frankenstein, One Battle After Another, Sinners, Sirat
Visual Effects: Avatar: Fire and Ash, F1, Jurassic World: Rebirth, The Lost Bus, Sinners
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