Fantasy Football Rankings: Hayden Winks’ QB/TE/DEF/K Blueprint for Week 10

The Blueprint is my weekly column and basically everything that I use to build out the most accurate rankings I can. There will be a WR column, an RB column and this combination column on the onesie positions. You will find film notes and endless charts. Maybe enough charts to stress test the Yahoo website. I kid.

Week 10 Projected Points

Week 10 Flex Projections

Not all players are listed in the markets.

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Week 10 QB Rankings

1. Josh Allen (at NYJ) – 23.7 proj. points

This chart says it all.

2. Brock Purdy (at DAL) – 22 proj. points

Purdy remains near the top of the league as fantasy’s QB4 (22.4 PPG) on the back of elite efficiency, posting +0.31 EPA per dropback (QB2). His secret fantasy sauce is adding 25 rushing yards and the occasional ground score when the offense feels stuck. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are horrific defensively, allowing opposing QBs to average 19.9 fantasy points per contest. San Francisco enters this road tilt as 3.5-point road favorites with a massive implied team total of 29.5 points (second). Purdy is an elite QB1.

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3. Joe Burrow (vs. PIT) – 20.7 proj. points

Burrow enters Week 10 as fantasy’s QB1 (26.6 PPG) while delivering +0.27 EPA per dropback (QB4). Over his last four starts, Burrow’s output has exploded to 32.1 fantasy points per game and +0.43 EPA per dropback (QB1), tossing 16 passing touchdowns in that heated stretch. Cincinnati leads the NFL with a 66% neutral pass rate (first), and they face a Steelers defense whose opponents pass 60% of the time in neutral situations (first). Pittsburgh has been tough on signal callers overall, allowing the 29th-most half PPR points to QBs (14.3). Even so, Burrow hung 24.6 fantasy points and three touchdowns on them back in Week 3. The Bengals enter as 3.5-point home favorites with an implied team total of 26.5 points (fifth).

4. Drake Maye (at DET) – 20.6 proj. points

Maye has surged into the upper tier of fantasy passers, sitting as the QB3 (22.6 PPG) with +0.09 EPA per dropback (QB16). His rushing baseline has been a constant weapon, adding 24.2 rushing yards per game (10th) across nine starts. If we look at Maye’s highs and lows, it’s clear that there is a sensitivity to opponent strength. He’s beaten up on soft opponents since Week 4, and he’ll get another one here, potentially with A.J. Brown returning.

The Lions have allowed the most fantasy points per game (23.6) on the most passing yards (277 YPG). Suddenly-benched QBs Kyler Murray (QB10) and Jacoby Brissett (QB7) had some of their most productive games of the year against them. New England enters this indoor road spot as 2.5-point road underdogs with an implied team total of 24.5 points (10th).

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5. Trevor Lawrence (at TEN) – 19.3 proj. points

Lawrence enters Week 10 as fantasy’s QB12 (19.6 PPG) while generating an efficient +0.30 EPA per dropback (QB3). He has thrown multiple passing scores in four of his past five starts.

His Week 10 matchup is as friendly as they come against a Titans defense allowing the fifth-most half PPR points per game to quarterbacks (20.4). They also just traded away their top two players on defense and allow the third-most points to QBs on the ground as a bonus. Jacksonville heads on the road as 10.5-point road favorites carrying a healthy implied team total of 28.5 points (third). This is another eruption spot.

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6. Tyler Shough (vs. CAR) – 19.8 proj. points

Shough has at least 15.8 fantasy points in every game except for his date with the Vikings. He was essentially stood up there. Now that he has LT Kelvin Banks back and had the bye week to heal his own fractured left hand, it’s time to take Shough seriously as a fantasy QB1. He’s the QB8 on the season and could get more production out of his third receiver spot with Jordyn Tyson mixing in. Shough can run when needed, but he may not need to against the Panthers. We’ll see if they can return EDGE1, CB1 or CB2 back here. The Saints have a 25.5-point team total (seventh).

7. Dak Prescott (vs. SF) – 17.9 proj. points

Prescott is coming off a 335-yard, 2-touchdown performance against Indianapolis and currently checks in as the QB11 in half PPR scoring (19.7 PPG). He has been efficient through the air with +0.18 EPA per dropback (QB9) while generating 264.6 passing yards per game (sixth). He’ll welcome back George Pickens in this contest, and the OL is back to full health again. It’s one of the most friendly offenses in the NFL, and Prescott is still playing well.

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The game environment is great, too. The game total is at a monster 55.5 points, with Dallas as dogs to the 49ers despite having a 26.0-point team total themselves. Kirk Cousins (QB11), Michael Penix (QB8) and Jayden Daniels (QB7) have created a 3-game streak of a fantasy QB1 finish.

8. Jared Goff (vs. NE) – 18.2 proj. points

Goff struggled against the Packers and Vikings because of how strong those defenses are, then dudded against the Dolphins in Miami. That was out of character. Goff is now the QB15 in fantasy on QB8 EPA per dropback. The hope is, the worst is behind him.

Up next is a New England defense ranking 14th in half PPR points allowed to opposing QBs (18.7 per game). The Patriots just surrendered a massive 36.2-point explosion to Jordan Love in Week 9 after Caleb Williams posted 22.1 points against them in Week 7. Detroit heads in as 2.5-point German favorites sporting a healthy implied team total of 27 points (fourth).

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9. Patrick Mahomes (at ATL) – 19.4 proj. points

The Josh Downs trade will provide him with an answer against man coverage at the underneath and intermediate level. He’s just far more polished than anyone else on the Chiefs. Even with poor WR play, Mahomes is the QB14 on QB12 EPA per dropback. He bottomed out against the Seahawks in Week 7 but has otherwise been a low-end QB1 option. The matchup is a clean one, especially with S1 Jesse Bates traded by the Falcons. Joe Burrow gashed them for 278 yards and four scores last week. Kansas City has a 24.5-point team total in this domed vacation.

10. Jayden Daniels (at NYG) – 18.1 proj. points

Daniels is still the QB1 in rushing yards per game (42.0), but they aren’t calling designed runs for him since his elbow injury and that average is notably lower than his rookie season (52.4). The Commanders are getting some up-and-down play on go balls from their WRs since Terry McLaurin’s injury, but Daniels does enough to hold onto low-end fantasy QB1 value. He’s at least cleared 15.0 fantasy points in his five healthy games this year and is the QB13, including that elbow game.

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Daniels ran all over the Giants in Week 5 in his return from said injury, posting a season-high 30.3 fantasy points and 103 rushing yards with two scores on the ground. DROY candidate Arvell Reese will look to make sure that doesn’t happen here, and I don’t like the Commanders’ odds of their WRs beating this CB room now. Washington enters this divisional rematch as 2.5-point road underdogs with an implied team total of 19.5 points (22nd).

11. C.J. Stroud (at CLE) – 16.5 proj. points

I wrote about C.J. Stroud a ton here. He’s playing like a top-10 QB and has massively improved against the blitz and pressure.

12. Bryce Young (at NO) – 18.8 proj. points

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Young has operated as fantasy’s QB9 (20.2 PPG) across eight starts, pairing 272 passing yards per game (fourth) with +0.05 EPA per dropback (QB18). Carolina has stayed committed to the air, operating with the league’s third-highest neutral pass rate (60%). He bounced back from a rough two-game stretch (TB & GB) with 24.3 fantasy points and three passing scores against Denver last week. It was an encouraging outing despite not having LG Damien Lewis.

The Saints matchup is one to attack. They’ve allowed the fifth-most passing yards (256) and sixth-most rushing yards (134). That’s tough to do. They can rush the passer but everything else has been a major work in progress, especially just tackling. Young hasn’t had a top-16 fantasy game against them throughout his career yet, but the Panthers’ No. 12 team total (23.0) suggests that’ll change here.

13. Jordan Love (vs. MIN) – 17.4 proj. points

Love has faced the most blitzes in the NFL, and he’s handled it very well. He’s scored the most touchdowns and compiled the most yards against it, largely throwing downfield darts to Christian Watson and Matthew Golden. Back in Week 1 against these blitz-crazy Vikings, Love hung 23.5 fantasy points on 387 total yards. He has the aggressiveness and WR talent to make defenses pay when bringing 5+. I can’t wait to see if DC Brian Flores continues with a 75% blitz rate or finally cools off.

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Love is a riskier start because Minnesota is still only allowing 10.9 fantasy points to QBs this year (easily the least), but Love is the QB2 in passing yards per game (291) and they don’t have the run game to really pivot away from what’s worked. Green Bay projects for 22.75 points.

14. Matthew Stafford (at ARI) – 16 proj. points

15. Geno Smith (vs. BUF) – 13.9 proj. points

16. Aaron Rodgers (at CIN) – 15.1 proj. points

17. Kirk Cousins (at GB) – 14.1 proj. points

18. Drew Lock (at LV) – 15 proj. points

19. J.J. McCarthy (vs. WAS) – 16.3 proj. points

20. Michael Penix (vs. KC) – 14.8 proj. points

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21. Jacoby Brissett (vs. LAC) – 13.8 proj. points

22. Daniel Jones (vs. MIA) – 11.9 proj. points

23. Cam Ward (vs. JAX) – 12.6 proj. points

24. Justin Herbert (at BAL) – 13 proj. points

25. Deshaun Watson (vs. HOU) – 15.1 proj. points

26. Fernando Mendoza (vs. SEA) – 11.8 proj. points

27. Kyle McCord (at IND) – 12.4 proj. points

28. Carson Beck (vs. LAR) – 11.7 proj. points

Week 10 TE Rankings

1. George Kittle (at DAL) – 62.5 proj. yards

2. Brock Bowers (vs. SEA) – 59.5 proj. yards

3. Tyler Warren (vs. MIA) – 43.5 proj. yards

4. Trey McBride (vs. LAR) – 60.5 proj. yards

5. Isaiah Likely (vs. WAS) – 46.5 proj. yards

6. Travis Kelce (at ATL) – 47.5 proj. yards

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7. Sam LaPorta (vs. NE) – 43.5 proj. yards

8. Dalton Kincaid (at NYJ) – 41.5 proj. yards

9. Hunter Henry (at DET)

10. Harold Fannin Jr. (vs. HOU) – 38.5 proj. yards

11. Kyle Pitts Sr. (vs. KC) – 37.5 proj. yards

12. Brenton Strange (at TEN) – 35.5 proj. yards

13. Tucker Kraft (vs. MIN) – 38.5 proj. yards

14. Tyler Higbee (at ARI)

15. T.J. Hockenson (at GB) – 40.5 proj. yards

16. Chig Okonkwo (at NYG) – 35.5 proj. yards

17. Darren Waller (at NO) – 28.5 proj. yards

18. Pat Freiermuth (at CIN) – 27.5 proj. yards

19. Juwan Johnson (vs. CAR) – 21.5 proj. yards

20. Dalton Schultz (at CLE) – 30.5 proj. yards

21. AJ Barner (at LV) – 22.5 proj. yards

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22. Mike Gesicki (vs. PIT) – 23.5 proj. yards

23. Colby Parkinson (at ARI)

24. Greg Dulcich (at IND) – 34.5 proj. yards

25. Michael Mayer (vs. SEA) – 20.5 proj. yards

26. Mark Andrews (vs. LAC) – 21.5 proj. yards

27. Eli Raridon (at DET)

28. Darnell Washington (at CIN) – 28.5 proj. yards

29. Mason Taylor (vs. BUF) – 15.5 proj. yards

30. Kenyon Sadiq (vs. BUF) – 21.5 proj. yards

31. Tommy Tremble (at NO) – 21.5 proj. yards

32. Charlie Kolar (at BAL)

33. Oronde Gadsden II (at BAL)

34. Davis Allen (at ARI)

Week 10 DEF Chart

Week 10 K Chart

Disclaimer : This story is auto aggregated by a computer programme and has not been created or edited by DOWNTHENEWS. Publisher: Sports.yahoo.com