Tips and race-by-race guide for Randwick (Kensington) on Monday

Selections based on a good track.

Race 1

1. Agatha was an odds-on favourite at her debut and loomed up before weakening into third. She’s had a couple of breaks since then with a trial in December and brushed home pretty well in her latest. 4. Miss Supernova hit the line nicely to just miss on Boxing Day before finding herself in front and fading into fourth before a break back in January. Good chance. 2. Artgirl hasn’t been far away in all five starts, but both trials have been somewhat quiet, so market will tell us more.
How to play it: Agatha to win.

Race 2

18. King Of The Nile has done enough in his recent trials to say he can produce a strong debut performance. Raced handy in the latest of them and should be able to replicate that from a good gate. 12. Moscatel was a $1.6m yearling and she’s a trial winner from the end of last month, behind the placings in subsequent trial. 11. Miss Black Betty showed some nice improvement into her
second trial where she found the line with purpose. Worth keeping safe.
How to play it: King Of The Nile to win.

Race 3

2. Cellphone fought hard between the first two home at Kembla just over a week ago at his second race start when beaten half a length. Blinkers go on and they could make the difference. 6. Made In Italy has been competitive in all four starts for as many placings and strikes a winnable race. 7. Aurora Effect put the writing on the wall with a much-improved second at Kembla in early March albeit on a heavy track. Hit the line well in a tickover trial last week.
How to play it: Cellphone to win.

Race 4

3. Probability Theory is a promising filly that won as an odds-on favourite when she resumed at Gosford. She’ll be hard to beat again. 4. Horizons was spelled after pulling up with excuses back in December. Has looked good in two trial wins leading in. 6. Jaegers boxed on well for second in the Albury Guineas before thrown in the deep end in the PJ Bell. Overlook that one.
How to play it: Probability Theory to win.

Race 5

11. Lord Remlap looks stacked with promise, and while this is a harder task than he’s met in his two Scone wins, he’s the one with all the upside. The 1300m should be right up his alley. 3. Xcessive Force is more than handy on her day but didn’t have the greatest of luck with the barriers in the Country Championships series and that hampered her. 6. Jenni The Jet could be a big improver after being stuck wide last time out at Canberra when right in the market.
How to play it: Lord Remlap to win.

Race 6

9. Shady Road took on a few smart ones at the end of her last prep and measured up pretty well. Just run down by Plaintiff, then up to Group 3 level wasn’t disgraced behind Ninja. Sure to be in the finish somewhere. 8. Tuscany atoned for a first-up defeat at long odds-on with a runaway maiden win at Newcastle two weeks ago. Modest class rise and he could go on with it. 6. Pasadena ran up to good support when he led all the way at Geelong. From the outside gate will have to press forward and chance if he gets across.
How to play it: Shady Road to win.

Race 7

1. No Drama has a big weight to shoulder, but he did have 61kg when an all-the-way winner at Rosehill last time. He’ll roll across from the outside and should be hard to run down. 6. Walking Painting is set to be a big improver second-up after a fair return at Warwick Farm behind Formal Display. 4. Sounds Unusual is a consistent type that has threatened to win a few for a while and perhaps this will be his preparation. Distance suits fresh.
How to play it: No Drama to win.

Race 8

9. Pimlico looks an up and comer and he was impressive scoring first-up at Gosford when rounding them up from just off the pace. Good chance. 2. Battle Hymn had no luck when he resumed at Warwick Farm. Down a notch in class and he can lift sharply. 6. Fingers Hunter wasn’t disgraced with a midfield finish in the Country Championships Final. On her run in the qualifying race at Muswellbrook, she’d be a decent chance.
How to play it: Pimlico to win.

Race 9

7. Koolibah was heavily supported at Rosehill a few weeks ago and gave backers no cause for concern sitting handy and powering away. Looks the one to stop. 5. Shangri La Impact was a beaten favourite at Newcastle off a five-week break and didn’t have the easiest of runs there. Big barrier switch and looms as a danger. 10. Chokuto ran a nice enough race first-up but disappointed a bit at Hawkesbury last time.
How to play it: Koolibah to win.

Race 10

3. Casserousse has been back to the trials since her close second when she resumed at Warwick Farm at the start of the month. She’s a promising filly and suited by the inside gate to get her some cover. 9. Sapphire Rose hasn’t raced since a win at Canterbury in July on a wet track. She will improve on whatever she does here. 8. Lull is yet to be placed first-up and is unbeaten second-up, so no surprise if she’s a bit vulnerable here. That said, she has trialled very nicely.
How to play it: Casserousse to win.

Kensington best bets

Race 4: (3) Probability Theory
Race 8: (9) Pimlico

Best value

Race 7: (1) No Drama

Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays at racingnsw.com.au